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Evolve 6 consecutive steel wing dragonite

I don't think it's just bad luck. Cos that's only a 1.5% chance to happen. Perhaps it's because of third party iv app? Anyone has any theory or guesses on this?

Asked by Tourbillon7 years 2 months ago
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It's just a statistical anomaly. Pretty big one though. Hard not to get superstitious or paranoid sometimes.

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Went back and checked. It's 6 consecutive steel wing which make it a 1.5% chance

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The real way you should look at this is "6 of the same quick moves in a row", which would be 0.5^5=3%. Chi squared test gives a P-value of P>0.01, which does not meet my definition of statistically significant.

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That's a completely different question... many view SW as inferior to DB and DT so having 6 in a row is meaningful.

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But statistically the odds are the same - at least hypothetically.

It would be like flipping a coin and getting heads 6 times in a row and saying there's only a 1.5% chance of that. There's also a 1.5% chance of getting all tails. The fact that you happen to prefer heads more than tails in the DB/SW case is irrelevant from a statistical perspective.

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RNG duder

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If the 7th is a steel wing, I definitely think there's more than meets the eye. Cmon, 6 consecutive steel wing is highly unlikely right?

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1.5% is a chance, though very small, that is not statistically insignificant. RNG is RNG is RNG ...

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holy cow thats like at least a million candies...

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1.5% > 0

It's supposed to happen that way 1.5% of the time. You're just the unlucky one to whom it happened.

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1 dragonite: 1 dragon breath, 1 dragon claw.

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As long as at least one of those is Steel wing + Outrage, that's still a very good moveset - mostly for defense, though.

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by GS1 7 years 2 months ago

I've evolved 7 straight Flareons in a row all on the same day recently. I stopped evolving eevees just so I don't get another Flareon.

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I've heard similar stories with Eevee evolutions. It's hard not to question the "R" of RNG.

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It drove me insane. Each time I thought "what are the chances of another Flareon. I'm gonna evolve again. Dammit. Ok the next one CAN'T be a Flareon again. WTF!!"

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You are personally being targeted. Are you a spoofer?

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I've had it the other way around where o think I got 4 or 5 vine whip/ solar beams in a row for venasaur... I theorized that it might have something to do with picking bulbs as first but probably not...

Btw,not too far behind you as I got wing three in a row once.. bout to go into doing 3 to 6 in a row (800 tini candies and counting...live in a place where they span often and they seem to be hatching a lot these days...) ... if i run into the string you do , I cannot really explain it as I have no 3rd party apps nor have violated the tos in any way...

Maybe you and I need to slaughter a lamb for sacrifice to the rng gods?

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I have evolved 8 sw dragonites. It's all I've ever evolved. Very disheartening after walking for hundreds of km. Driving hours away to dratini biomes. Only to evolve another sw.

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