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Items from Pokestops (Do you get less of what you are low on)

I don't know ifs just the random, but it sure feels like when you are Low on a particular item, or out, you don't get that item.

When you have 100+ of an item you get more of it.

I was out of Candy Berries today, and spun over 100 pokestops before I got one.

I end up out of hyper potions often, or super, and find the same issue.

I almost wonder if there isn't a bad algorithm involved where the game looks at your inventory and says "Oh so and so must not value this item so lower chance, and so and so must want to keep these, so higher chance"

All of this might just be Observer's Bias and seeing patterns in Randomness I want to see.

BUT does anyone else get such a Bias OR has anyone done any studies on distribution (and can you link?)

Asked by Arak27 years ago
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Answers

by aSp 7 years ago

There was a thread on here a couple of months ago where someone said they found an algorithm in the game that does exactly that. It didn't get much attention, but the person seemed very convinced of it.

That sort of thing could work for you or against you - if you want to collect something then it will keep giving it to you...but if you have run out, then it may take a while to refill.
...if there is such an algorithm.

Since seeing that, I ensure that I never let specific items get to zero, but instead treat my last 10 of certain items as if they have depleted - this way I have always got 'seed' items.
I also make sure that basic potion never got too high (never over 10)...or my pack fills up with them.
I have kept a good stash of maxpotion, revives, and max revives at all times this way.

For a few months I have done this, and it may be 'confirmation bias' but with it being over such a long period of time I tend to believe there is something to it.

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by GGTW 7 years ago

Sure feels like that some days, almost like you have to take a whole day and not catch, just hit spins, lol.

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it has felt like that to me at times. When i have been low on balls i seem to get swamped by potions but I depleted my potions and revives at one point a week or two ago and it took 2 days to even get enough revives and potions to heal everything and then another couple of days before I had stocks again.

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This would be worse for rural players though as they are always low on items and they have trouble restocking! So I hope this isn't the case but I had trouble getting all types of potions for 2 maybe 3 weeks now :/

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by JHVS 7 years ago

I'm not saying it's not true but, holy hell, the amount of data that would need to be passed would be terrific every time you spun a pokestop. I think it's unlikely but who knows?

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I sure think so... Just like I suspect that egg distribution is not random but based on your account history (and not the particular pokestop you got it from).

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Might be confirmation bias, but after I buy coins I seam to get morr, and hance better, 10km eggs :).

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